Senate Balance 2020
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Vulnerable To Flip
| State | Incumbent Party | Poll Balance | Links | Money | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska | Republican | tied, limited data | Wikipedia | Evolving Rapidly | Generally Alaska is safe for Republicans. It has become heated, though, with millions rolling in on both sides since RBG's death. Lisa Murkowski, the incumbent Republican, has declared that she will oppose a SCOTUS appointment. |
| Colorado | Republican | 50.7D, 43.3R | Wikipedia | ||
| Georgia | Republican | 42.4 D, 44.4 R | Wikipedia | The closeness of the polls may not reflect realistic likelihood of winning. Georgia is generally safe for Republicans, and may be particularly so this year. | |
| Iowa | Republican | 44.8 D, 44.8 R | Wikipedia | ||
| Kansas | Republican | 44 D, 46 R (limited polling) | Wikipedia | ||
| Maine | Republican | ||||
| Michigan | Democrat | 46.8 D, 41.6 R | Wikipedia | John James (R) has the money advantage by about 10% ($500k). | |
| Montana | Republican | ||||
| New Mexico | Democrat | 49 D, 40 R (limited polling) | Wikipedia | ||
| North Carolina | Republican | ||||
| South Carolina | Republican | ||||
| Texas | Republican |
Possibility to Flip
Current balance is 53:47
Probable to Flip
- Alabama will flip from Democrat to Republican: R+1
- Arizona will flip from Republican to Democrat: D+1
Unlikely to Flip
- New Hampshire is secure for the incumbent (D): +0
- Idaho is secure for the incumbent (R): +0
- Kentucky is secure for the incumbent (R): +0
- Minnesota is secure for the incumbent (D): +0
- Mississippi is secure for the incumbent (R): +0
- New Jersey is secure for the incumbent (D): +0
- Oklahoma is secure for the incumbent (R): +0
- Virginia is safe for the incumbent (D): +0
Possible to Flip
These are the states that appear in the "Vulnerable to Flip" table.
Insufficient Data
Additionally, the following states are having a Sente vote this year but did not have polling data readily available and will require more research: Oregon, Wyoming, South Dakota, Nebraska, Illinois, Arkansas, Louisiana, Tennessee, West Virginia, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Delaware