Category:Datasets: Difference between revisions

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* 20 per 100k with access to a gun.
* 20 per 100k with access to a gun.
* 2 per 100k without access to a gun.
* 2 per 100k without access to a gun.
* '''worst case''' 18 per 100k due to access to a gun. (could also be killers are more likely to have access to a gun - so maybe 10 - 15 per 100k is the realistic case)
* worst case 18 per 100k due to access to a gun. (could also be killers are more likely to have access to a gun - so maybe 10 - 15 per 100k is the realistic case)
* 10mm abusers annually
* 10mm abusers annually
* 44% of households have guns
* 44% of households have guns

Revision as of 14:18, 21 September 2023

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IPH

So, extremely roughly:

  • 2,000 cases with access to a gun, 200 cases without.
  • 20 per 100k with access to a gun.
  • 2 per 100k without access to a gun.
  • worst case 18 per 100k due to access to a gun. (could also be killers are more likely to have access to a gun - so maybe 10 - 15 per 100k is the realistic case)
  • 10mm abusers annually
  • 44% of households have guns
  • 4mm abusers with guns kill 2,000 people (with roughly 1500 being avoidable)
  • Each abuser has a 1:2000 chance of being a killer if they have a gun.

homicide:

  • annual homicides: 26,031 or 7.8 per 100k
  • annual gun homicides: 20,958 (81%)
  • Population 350mm
  • Each random person has at most a 1:13,461 chance of being a killer.
  • domestic abuser without a gun is 1:20,000 to kill partner
  • domestic abuser with a gun is 1:2,000 to kill partner
  • domestic abuser with a gun is 1:1,346 to kill anyone (extremely rough)
  • Which recapitulates the earlier stat: 10x as likely to kill. I think that's just how I mathed it, not an actual statistic.

Life Expectancy

Us life expectancy gap.jpg

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