MaskMath: Difference between revisions
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To me, there are three main angles: Societal Policy, Individual Responsiblity, Individual Benevolence | To me, there are three main angles: Societal Policy, Individual Responsiblity, Individual Benevolence | ||
Societal | '''Societal Policy''' is what we should enact in law and enforce under threat of imprisonment (or other coercive measure). To me, this is the loosest number. Ballpark, I would say it is something like half of what we think we can measure. You can't have a law that threatens me with removal of virtually all of my freedoms, unless you can show the behavior is really harmful to society. | ||
Individual | '''Individual Responsibility''' is the bare minimum; what I should be able to expect of you as a rationally self-interested person, devoid of benevolence. This is our best measure of where a person goes from being benevolent to malevolent. | ||
Individual | '''Individual Benevolence''' is a higher bar than responsibility. It is the level at which you are "going the extra mile" for your society. For a rough starting point, we tend to see things 30% in our own favor (citation needed, but it came from an MBA who is mad for data). Therefore, to try to be in the benevolent category, I think a good starting point is doing 130% of what you think is neutrally good. | ||
= Core Stats = | = Core Stats = | ||
Revision as of 11:11, 20 June 2021
Should you wear a mask? What if you're vaccinated (but still possibly a carrier)? What about your personal liberty?
To me, there are three main angles: Societal Policy, Individual Responsiblity, Individual Benevolence
Societal Policy is what we should enact in law and enforce under threat of imprisonment (or other coercive measure). To me, this is the loosest number. Ballpark, I would say it is something like half of what we think we can measure. You can't have a law that threatens me with removal of virtually all of my freedoms, unless you can show the behavior is really harmful to society.
Individual Responsibility is the bare minimum; what I should be able to expect of you as a rationally self-interested person, devoid of benevolence. This is our best measure of where a person goes from being benevolent to malevolent.
Individual Benevolence is a higher bar than responsibility. It is the level at which you are "going the extra mile" for your society. For a rough starting point, we tend to see things 30% in our own favor (citation needed, but it came from an MBA who is mad for data). Therefore, to try to be in the benevolent category, I think a good starting point is doing 130% of what you think is neutrally good.
Core Stats
Value of a US life: $10MM (source)
US Population: 332MM
US Suicide
Annual US Suicides: 48,334 (2018)
Annual US Suicide Cost: $480b
Annual US Suicide Cost Per Capita: $1,446
US Cars
Annual US Car Deaths: 37,000
Annual US Car Death Cost: $370b
Annual US Car Death Cost Per Capita: $1,114
US Guns
Annual US Gun Non-Suicides: 13,958 (homicide, accident, police, undetermined)
Annual US Gun Non-Suicide Cost: $140b
Annual US Gun Non-Suicide Cost Per Capita: $422
US Swimming Pools
Annual US Drownings: 4,000 (mostly swimming pools)
Annual US Swimming Pool Death Cost: $40b
Annual US Swimming Pool Death Cost Per Capita: $120
US Masks
Annualized US COVID Deaths: 127,838 (June 2021, trough of flu season, Delta variant not dominant yet)
Annualized US COVID Death Cost: $1,278b
Annual US COVID Death Cost Per Capita: $3,855
AZ Masks
AZ COVID Deaths Per Day: 11 (June 2021, trough of flu season, Delta variant not dominant yet)
Annualized AZ COVID Deaths: 4,018 (June 2021, trough of flu season, Delta variant not dominant yet)
Annualized AZ cost of COVID Deaths: $40b
AZ Population: 7,520,103
Annualized AZ COVID Death Cost Per Capita: $5,319
AZ Benevolent Individual Cost: $6,915
If you live in Arizona, and you are choosing not to wear a mask in the grocery store or inside the gas station, to fit in the "benevolent" category, you need to show that the burden of wearing a mask, to you, is greater than $6,915 per year.
And I don't give any special dispensation for being rich, so if you make a lot of money, you need to go find some average people and show that their burden is greater than $6,915 per year.